St. Louis 1-1 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis
1-1
AWAY FC Juarez
1.30 xG 1.04
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
258 Passes 445
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Louis vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis and FC Juarez couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Louis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, St. Louis had 39% of the ball to FC Juarez's 61%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.30 to 1.04.

What was the final score of St. Louis vs FC Juarez?

St. Louis 1-1 FC Juarez in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Louis 44%, draw 23%, FC Juarez 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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