Cezayir 2-0 Ekvator Ginesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cezayir EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.26/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.32
-25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
23.4 Crosses 12.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cezayir
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.49
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
351 Passes 116
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
26 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.01.2022 Cezayir Cezayir 0-1 HT 0-0 Ekvator Ginesi Ekvator Ginesi AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cezayir
2-0
AWAY Ekvator Ginesi
3.46 xG 0.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
339 Passes 228
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cezayir vs Ekvator Ginesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir saw off Ekvator Ginesi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cezayir had 58% of the ball to Ekvator Ginesi's 42%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 3.46 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Cezayir vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Cezayir 2-0 Ekvator Ginesi in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Ekvator Ginesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 53%, draw 28%, Ekvator Ginesi 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✓ Under 2.5
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