Gana 0-1 Angola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 5 Sep 2024

Gana
0-1 HT 0-0
Angola
📅05/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
6%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Angola EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.73/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.35
-7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
13.0 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Angola
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.43 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
333 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.03.2023 Angola Angola 1-1 HT 0-0 Gana Gana AFUK
23.03.2023 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 0-0 Angola Angola AFUK
24.01.2010 Angola Angola 0-1 HT 0-1 Gana Gana AFUK
18.11.2009 Angola Angola 0-0 HT 0-0 Gana Gana HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
0-1
AWAY Angola
0.77 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
324 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gana vs Angola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angola squeezed past Gana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Gana carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gana had 57% of the ball to Angola's 43%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.77 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gana had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gana and 0.25 for Angola.

What was the final score of Gana vs Angola?

Gana 0-1 Angola in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Angola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gana 56%, draw 25%, Angola 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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