Kongo 1-0 Güney Sudan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.2
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
60%
-12.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Sudan EU Bookmakers 18%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
1.15/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.15
-1% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
25.0 Crosses 7.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Güney Sudan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.56
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
380 Passes 116
80% Pass Accuracy 57%
27 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2023 Güney Sudan Güney Sudan 0-1 HT 0-0 Kongo Kongo AFUK
23.03.2023 Kongo Kongo 1-2 HT 0-0 Güney Sudan Güney Sudan AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongo
1-0
AWAY Güney Sudan
0.91 xG 0.38
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
422 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kongo vs Güney Sudan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongo edged past Güney Sudan 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kongo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Kongo had 63% of the ball to Güney Sudan's 37%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kongo and 1.00 for Güney Sudan.

What was the final score of Kongo vs Güney Sudan?

Kongo 1-0 Güney Sudan in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongo vs Güney Sudan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kongo 47%, draw 32%, Güney Sudan 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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