İtalya 5-0 Estonya — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
91%
1.07
Draw
5%
9.14
Away
4%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
21%
3.25
Over
79%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.54
No
60%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
8%
8.23
2-3
36%
2.34
4-5
37%
2.29
6+
19%
3.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
67%
1.08
1/2
0%
34.5
1/X
1%
34.5
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
2%
34.5
X/X
3%
16.7
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
2%
34.5
2/X
1%
34.5
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İtalya The Market 94%
Signal
AWAY Estonya The Market 8%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
3.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.67
0.49 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 3.02
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
510 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
43 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Estonya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.81 xG 0.21
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
609 Passes 191
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2020 İtalya İtalya 4-0 HT 2-0 Estonya Estonya HAZ
03.06.2011 İtalya İtalya 3-0 HT 2-0 Estonya Estonya AVR
03.09.2010 Estonya Estonya 1-2 HT 1-0 İtalya İtalya AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya
5 - 0
AWAY Estonya
4.73 xG 0.34
70% Ball Possession 30%
40 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
569 Passes 210
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
61 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW İtalya vs Estonya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İtalya cruised past Estonya 5-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had İtalya as the likeliest winner at 91%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (79%), no to both teams scoring (60%) landed.

On the day, possession split 70% to 30% in İtalya's favour, shots finished 40-4, expected goals 4.73 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İtalya had the better of it with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.00 a game for İtalya against 0.33 for Estonya.

İtalya vs Estonya Result & Final Score

İtalya 5 - 0 Estonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İtalya vs Estonya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya win the most likely single outcome at about 91%, with the full match-result split İtalya 91%, draw 5%, Estonya 4%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İtalya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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