Yunanistan 5-1 Belarus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.29
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
32.0
X/1
17%
3.49
X/2
3%
33.0
X/X
9%
8.4
2/1
12%
30.0
2/2
5%
34.0
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
80%
-8.8pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.7pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.2pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
0.41/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/2.98
-62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -45%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
443 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 71%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.5
30.0 Crosses 7.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunanistan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Belarus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.11.2016 Yunanistan Yunanistan 0-1 HT 0-1 Belarus Belarus HAZ
28.02.2006 Yunanistan Yunanistan 1-0 HT 1-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunanistan
5-1
AWAY Belarus
3.39 xG 1.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 11
14 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 7
439 Passes 226
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
49 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yunanistan vs Belarus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunanistan cruised past Belarus 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunanistan as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunanistan had 64% of the ball to Belarus's 36%, shots finished 30-11, expected goals 3.39 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yunanistan and 0.50 for Belarus.

What was the final score of Yunanistan vs Belarus?

Yunanistan 5-1 Belarus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunanistan vs Belarus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunanistan win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Yunanistan 71%, draw 18%, Belarus 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunanistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunanistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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