Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Qatar League, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2026 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATVPK
09.05.2026 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATEK
31.01.2026 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
28.08.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.05.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KUVEK
27.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
PREVIEW Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Al Sadd clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

The home form book backs Al Sadd: 4 wins in their last 5 league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Al Sadd against 1.33 for Al Gharafa.

Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa Kick-off Time

Al Sadd play Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 05/09/2026, kick-off 19:15 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Al Sadd vs Al Gharafa is a Al Sadd win at about 66% probability, priced 1.53 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Al Sadd 66%, draw 19%, Al Gharafa 15%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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