Al Gharafa 1-3 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 31 Jan 2026

Al Gharafa
1 - 3 HT 0 - 0
Al Sadd
📅31/01/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.61
Over Pick
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.48
No
37%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
13%
5.73
2-3
42%
2.03
4-5
33%
2.5
6+
12%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
2%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Gharafa The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd The Market 62%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.38
1.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.14 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.05.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KUVEK
27.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
06.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
28.09.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1 - 3
AWAY Al Sadd
1.24 xG 2.48
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
203 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Sadd took care of Al Gharafa 3-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Al Sadd saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.24 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Al Gharafa against 3.00 for Al Sadd.

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Result & Final Score

Al Gharafa 1 - 3 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 20%, draw 20%, Al Sadd 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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