Al Gharafa 4-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — KATEK, 9 May 2026

Al Gharafa
4 - 1 HT 2 - 0
Al Sadd
📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
KATEK – 2025/2026

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
67%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.96
Over Pick
74%
1.4
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
11%
6.58
2-3
37%
2.12
4-5
35%
2.34
6+
17%
4.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
1%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Al Gharafa v Al Sadd — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Gharafa The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd The Market 69%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.75
2.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
– Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Bad
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
– Crosses 8
– Yellow Cards 4

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.22 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 386
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.01.2026 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
28.08.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.05.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KUVEK
27.02.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 3-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
06.03.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT

Al Gharafa 4-1 Al Sadd — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
4 - 1
AWAY Al Sadd
0.94 xG 1.19
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
191 Passes 481
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Gharafa overpowered Al Sadd 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

File this under upsets: a 67% lean on Al Sadd went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Al Sadd saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 8-28, expected goals 0.94 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Al Gharafa against 2.83 for Al Sadd.

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Result & Final Score

Al Gharafa 4 - 1 Al Sadd in the KATEK on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 17%, draw 16%, Al Sadd 67%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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