Barnet 3-1 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

Barnet
3-1 HT 0-1
Boston United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Barnet vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.96
Over
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.68
2-3
40%
2.15
4-5
29%
2.5
6+
12%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.7
X/1 ✗
28%
3.64
X/2
4%
21.2
X/X
6%
9.35
2/1
4%
20.3
2/2
6%
14.6
2/X
6%
21.85
Value flag · X/1 at 3.64 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Barnet win — 67% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barnet v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.62/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.20
+24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +67%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Barnet vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Boston United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
01.01.2007 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
12.09.2006 Barnet Barnet 3-3 HT 1-2 Boston United Boston United İN2
01.04.2006 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
31.12.2005 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İN2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet beat Boston United 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boston United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barnet and 1.75 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Boston United?

Barnet 3-1 Boston United in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Barnet 67%, draw 19%, Boston United 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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