Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
14%
3.65
X/2
7%
14.55
X/X
9%
7.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.3
2/2
7%
10.65
2/X
6%
19.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
67%
-7.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.77
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-4 HT 1-3 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
03.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
28.01.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
27.08.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-0
AWAY Wealdstone
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
0 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead squeezed past Wealdstone 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 65% of the ball to Wealdstone's 35%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gateshead and 1.25 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Wealdstone?

Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 60%, draw 21%, Wealdstone 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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