Woking 1-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.83
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 36% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.16
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
12%
7.64
X/2
13%
4.12
X/X
15%
4.42
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.61
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.8pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.25/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.81
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
0W-1D-5L
AWAY York City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 York City York City 2-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
23.09.2023 Woking Woking 1-2 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
10.12.2022 Woking Woking 0-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
06.08.2022 York City York City 2-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
22.04.2017 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
27.08.2016 York City York City 4-1 HT 4-1 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-1
AWAY York City
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Woking vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking and York City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Woking had 34% of the ball to York City's 66%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Woking and 2.17 for York City.

What was the final score of Woking vs York City?

Woking 1-1 York City in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Woking 30%, draw 29%, York City 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (York City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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