Chorley vs Warrington Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Warrington Town — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Warrington Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Warrington Town
İCON
Chorley 1-1 Warrington Town — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley and Warrington Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Chorley at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Chorley had 52% of the ball to Warrington Town's 48%, shots finished 14-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Warrington Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chorley and 1.50 for Warrington Town.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Warrington Town?
Chorley 1-1 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Warrington Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chorley 46%, draw 23%, Warrington Town 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.