Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.69
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
28.10.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 3-1 HT 2-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
18.10.2022 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-2 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
15.10.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
0-1
AWAY Torquay United
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Hampton & Richmond 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Torquay United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 61% of the ball to Torquay United's 39%, shots finished 4-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hampton & Richmond and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Torquay United?

Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 38%, draw 24%, Torquay United 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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