Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Bristol Rovers
İN1
1-2
HT 1-1
Burton Albion
İN1
0-4
HT 0-4
Bristol Rovers
İN1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bristol Rovers
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol Rovers got the better of Burton Albion 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Bristol Rovers made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 61% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 39%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.70 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.33 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers?
Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 37%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.