Colchester 0-0 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Oct 2024

Colchester
0-0 HT 0-0
Carlisle United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.84
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.53
X/2
7%
6.95
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.2
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.51/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.5 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Colchester vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
235 Passes 184
62% Pass Accuracy 57%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Carlisle United Carlisle United 1-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
06.08.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 1-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
12.02.2022 Colchester Colchester 2-2 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
07.08.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
02.03.2021 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
17.10.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 3-2 HT 2-1 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 0-0 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
0-0
AWAY Carlisle United
1.25 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
246 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and Carlisle United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Colchester had 45% of the ball to Carlisle United's 55%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colchester and 1.33 for Carlisle United.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Carlisle United?

Colchester 0-0 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Colchester 41%, draw 29%, Carlisle United 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Colchester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✓ Under 2.5
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