Picerno 1-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.14
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.55/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.00
+8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cavese
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
22.01.2020 Picerno Picerno 3-1 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-1
AWAY Cavese
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and Cavese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Picerno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Picerno had 70% of the ball to Cavese's 30%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Cavese?

Picerno 1-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Picerno 50%, draw 25%, Cavese 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Picerno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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