Team Altamura 0-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.32
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
15%
5.27
6+
8%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.32 — our 39% vs market 36.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
-100% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Team Altamura
0-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Team Altamura vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli squeezed past Team Altamura 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; SS Monopoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Team Altamura had 52% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 48%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Team Altamura vs SS Monopoli?

Team Altamura 0-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team Altamura vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Team Altamura 30%, draw 31%, SS Monopoli 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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