Waterford FC 2-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 33% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.46
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.31
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.26
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.22/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.27
+25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
24.4 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.04
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 128
76% Pass Accuracy 53%
21 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
30.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
04.04.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
11.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
26.07.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
23.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
2-0
AWAY Drogheda United
0.79 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 9
217 Passes 199
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC got the better of Drogheda United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Waterford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 50% of the ball to Drogheda United's 50%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.79 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 1.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Waterford FC 2-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 37%, draw 28%, Drogheda United 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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