Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-0 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past Sligo Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Derry City had 56% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 44%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.32 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Derry City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Derry City 1-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Derry City 61%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.