Sligo Rovers 2-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 12 Jul 2025

Sligo Rovers
2-0 HT 2-0
Derry City
📅12/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2025

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.54
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
8%
8.76
X/2
18%
4.13
X/X
15%
4.49
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.42
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sligo Rovers v Derry City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.99/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.95
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.8 Crosses 21.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Derry City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
261 Passes 293
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.04.2025 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
15.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
14.10.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
04.07.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
24.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
24.02.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL

Sligo Rovers 2-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-0
AWAY Derry City
1.53 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 393
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers saw off Derry City 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 43% of the ball to Derry City's 57%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.33 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Sligo Rovers 2-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 28%, draw 28%, Derry City 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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