Monaco 2-2 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 5 Oct 2025

Monaco
2-2 HT 1-2
Nice
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over Pick
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.7
2-3
42%
1.92
4-5
25%
2.74
6+
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.58
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
9%
7.9
X/X
12%
5.69
2/1 ✗
12%
21.05
2/2
14%
5.2
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monaco v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 31%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.46
+1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.6 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Monaco vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2025 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
27.10.2024 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
11.02.2024 Nice Nice 2-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.09.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
26.02.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-3 HT 0-3 Nice Nice FR1
04.09.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1

Monaco 2-2 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
2-2
AWAY Nice
2.98 xG 1.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
448 Passes 186
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Monaco vs Nice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco and Nice couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

A gentle 47% lean on Monaco didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) landed.

On the day, Monaco had 65% of the ball to Nice's 35%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.98 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monaco and 1.50 for Nice.

Monaco vs Nice Result & Final Score

Monaco 2-2 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Nice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monaco 47%, draw 23%, Nice 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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