Ferencvaros 2-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.61
Over Pick
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
13%
5.68
2-3
42%
2.02
4-5
33%
2.48
6+
12%
5.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ferencvaros The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
36 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.31 xG 0.66
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
438 Passes 204
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
38 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.05.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK
10.05.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-3 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
16.02.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
06.10.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
15.05.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
07.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2 - 2
AWAY Paksi SE
2.29 xG 1.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
403 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ferencvaros and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ferencvaros at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (61%) landed.

On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in Ferencvaros's favour, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.29 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Ferencvaros against 1.67 for Paksi SE.

Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE Result & Final Score

Ferencvaros 2 - 2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ferencvaros vs Paksi SE Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 64%, draw 19%, Paksi SE 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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5 Oct 2025
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