Paksi SE 2-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-5.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 60%
+14% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.10/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.92
+61% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
12.4 Crosses 23.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 2.38
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
190 Passes 448
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
06.10.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
15.05.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
07.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
10.12.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 6-1 HT 6-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.63 xG 2.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
233 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past Paksi SE 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 41% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 59%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.63 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paksi SE and 1.67 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Paksi SE 2-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 26%, draw 25%, Ferencvaros 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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