MTK Budapest 2-1 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.79/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.67
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.5 Crosses 17.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 5-0 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
05.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 2-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
30.03.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.08.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.05.2015 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2-1
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
0.98 xG 2.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
473 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest nicked a narrow win over Kecskemeti TE 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 56% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 44%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.98 to 2.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kecskemeti TE.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.50 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

MTK Budapest 2-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 50%, draw 22%, Kecskemeti TE 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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