Puskas FC 4-2 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.53
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
22.5 Crosses 21.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.46 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
385 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.10.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
18.05.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
24.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
28.10.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
14.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
4-2
AWAY Debrecen
1.84 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
229 Passes 346
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC got the better of Debrecen 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 43% of the ball to Debrecen's 57%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.84 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puskas FC and 0.67 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Debrecen?

Puskas FC 4-2 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 41%, draw 26%, Debrecen 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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