Fredrikstad 1-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Oct 2025

Fredrikstad
1-1 HT 0-1
HamKam
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Fredrikstad vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.71
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.55
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
16%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.69
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +28%
1.37/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.26
-12% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.3 Crosses 20.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Fredrikstad vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HamKam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.20 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 Passes 306
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2025 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.11.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
21.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.02.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.06.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1

Fredrikstad 1-1 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-1
AWAY HamKam
1.81 xG 1.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
393 Passes 227
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad and HamKam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 59% of the ball to HamKam's 41%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.81 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Fredrikstad 1-1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 46%, draw 29%, HamKam 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ BTTS Yes
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