Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosenborg v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-2
HT 1-0
Rosenborg
NOR
0-3
HT 0-3
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Rosenborg 2-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 edged past Rosenborg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Rosenborg carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Rosenborg had 62% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 38%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 3.51 to 1.77 — on chances, Rosenborg could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rosenborg and 2.67 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg 2-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 55%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.