Sporting CP U23 0-1 Benfica U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.00
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Benfica U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
02.04.2025 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 2-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
23.01.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-2 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
01.11.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
02.04.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
0-1
AWAY Benfica U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP U23 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 44% of the ball to Benfica U23's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 1.50 for Benfica U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Sporting CP U23 0-1 Benfica U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 34%, draw 21%, Benfica U23 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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