Radcliffe Borough 2-1 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.26
2-3
37%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.61
6+
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington The Market 32%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.18/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.34
-22% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2-1
AWAY Leamington
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough edged past Leamington 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radcliffe Borough as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 54% of the ball to Leamington's 46%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Leamington?

Radcliffe Borough 2-1 Leamington in the England - Conference on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 43%, draw 27%, Leamington 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✗ Under 2.5
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