Junior 2-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒04:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.1 Crosses 13.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-1D-4L
AWAY America de Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.10.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
16.10.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOLK
03.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
16.06.2025 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
05.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-1
AWAY America de Cali
1.40 xG 0.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
303 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past America de Cali 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Junior had 50% of the ball to America de Cali's 50%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.40 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 1.33 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 2-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Junior 56%, draw 23%, America de Cali 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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