America de Cali 2-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +8%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.05
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
18.0 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOLK
03.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
16.06.2025 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
05.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
04.05.2025 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 0-2 America de Cali America de Cali CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-1
AWAY Junior
0.85 xG 0.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Junior 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 48% of the ball to Junior's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Junior?

America de Cali 2-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 47%, draw 26%, Junior 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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