America de Cali 0-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 16 Oct 2025

📅16/10/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
21%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
42%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
30%
-8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.12/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.29
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Junior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2025 Junior Junior 1-2 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
16.06.2025 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
05.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
04.05.2025 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.03.2025 Junior Junior 2-2 HT 0-2 America de Cali America de Cali CSA
09.12.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past America de Cali 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America de Cali and 0.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Junior?

America de Cali 0-1 Junior in the Colombia - Cup on 16/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 53%, draw 26%, Junior 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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