Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 2-0 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera saw off La Equidad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 60% of the ball to La Equidad's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.67 — on chances, La Equidad could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.17 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad?
Alianza Petrolera 2-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 65%, draw 22%, La Equidad 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.