Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.14/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.20
-16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
20.4 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
356 Passes 214
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
15.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.02 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
348 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF saw off Deportivo Pasto 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 45%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 57%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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