Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
4-2
HT 2-1
Deportivo Cali
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima squeezed past Deportivo Cali 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 48%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.04 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Deportivo Cali.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 23%, Deportivo Cali 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.