Benevento 3-2 Torre Neapolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Torre Neapolis EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.24
-4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torre Neapolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 3-1 HT 2-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
3-2
AWAY Torre Neapolis
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Torre Neapolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento edged past Torre Neapolis 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Benevento had 46% of the ball to Torre Neapolis's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Torre Neapolis?

Benevento 3-2 Torre Neapolis in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Torre Neapolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Benevento 54%, draw 21%, Torre Neapolis 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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