Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 6 Feb 2026

Macarthur
2-2 HT 0-1
Perth Glory
📅06/02/2026 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Macarthur vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
8%
8.1
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1
7%
21.5
2/2
17%
5.64
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macarthur v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.06/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
+4% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.3 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Macarthur vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Macarthur Macarthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
27.12.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-3 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.10.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 6-1 HT 5-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-2 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
18.07.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Macarthur Macarthur AVUK

Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
2-2
AWAY Perth Glory
1.60 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macarthur and Perth Glory couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Macarthur at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Macarthur had 60% of the ball to Perth Glory's 40%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.60 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Macarthur and 1.33 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Perth Glory?

Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 49%, draw 20%, Perth Glory 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macarthur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macarthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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