CSKA Sofia 3-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
14%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.58
Over
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.34
No
58%
1.52
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CSKA Sofia The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali The Market 19%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.79 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
31.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.02.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
16.02.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
3 - 1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CSKA Sofia had too much for Arda Kardzhali 3-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 57% to 43% in CSKA Sofia's favour, shots finished 20-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for CSKA Sofia against 1.17 for Arda Kardzhali.

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Result & Final Score

CSKA Sofia 3 - 1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 59%, draw 27%, Arda Kardzhali 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
6 Feb 2026
16:15 Montana vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →