Arda Kardzhali 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.66
Over
41%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arda Kardzhali The Market 31%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia The Market 48%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.91
Weak Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.02.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
16.02.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1 - 0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Under the surface, CSKA Sofia saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 6-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Arda Kardzhali against 1.67 for CSKA Sofia.

Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia Result & Final Score

Arda Kardzhali 1 - 0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 26%, draw 28%, CSKA Sofia 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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