CSKA Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 26 Feb 2025

📅26/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 18%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-70% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
28.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BULK
27.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Arda Kardzhali 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 57% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 43%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.80 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - Cup on 26/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 51%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
26 Feb 2025
16:00 Cherno More Varna vs Levski Sofia Analysis →