Celje vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celje v Lugano — Team-Based Signals
Celje 1-0 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics
Celje edged past Lugano 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Celje made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celje had 46% of the ball to Lugano's 54%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.48 to 1.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lugano.
What was the final score of Celje vs Lugano?
Celje 1-0 Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celje vs Lugano?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Celje 36%, draw 26%, Lugano 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.