Molde vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Molde v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals
Molde vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Molde 3-2 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics
Molde edged past Legia Varşova 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Molde made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Molde had 56% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 44%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.93 to 2.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Legia Varşova.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Molde and 1.00 for Legia Varşova.
What was the final score of Molde vs Legia Varşova?
Molde 3-2 Legia Varşova in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Molde vs Legia Varşova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Molde 40%, draw 28%, Legia Varşova 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.