Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
13%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.85
X/2
14%
6.78
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
5%
5.14
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
3-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.16 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
266 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok swept aside Cercle Brugge 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 54% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.16 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cercle Brugge?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-0 Cercle Brugge in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 44%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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