Real Betis 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 6 Mar 2025

Real Betis
2-2 HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2024/2025

Real Betis vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.93
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
14%
3.87
X/2 EV+ ✗
13%
11.55
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
9%
10.1
2/X
8%
18.5
Value flag · X/2 at 11.55 — our 13% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+13.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 20%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-48% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Real Betis vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
The Meetings
07.11.2013 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis AVL
24.10.2013 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes AVL

Real Betis 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes
2.46 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
364 Passes 422
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Vitoria Guimaraes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Vitoria Guimaraes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Betis had 47% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 53%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.46 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Betis and 0.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Real Betis 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Vitoria Guimaraes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 47%, draw 24%, Vitoria Guimaraes 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ BTTS No
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