Legia Varşova 0-3 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

Legia Varşova
0-3 HT 0-2
Molde
📅22/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2025/2026

Legia Varşova vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
14%
7.79
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
5.67
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Legia Varşova v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 29%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.95/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.37
-39% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -53%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
24.5 Crosses 10.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Legia Varşova vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Molde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.27 xG 2.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
288 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
15.02.2024 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 3-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova AVKL

Legia Varşova 0-3 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-3
AWAY Molde
0.99 xG 1.34
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
449 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde swept aside Legia Varşova 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 63% of the ball to Molde's 37%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.99 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Molde?

Legia Varşova 0-3 Molde in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 41%, draw 31%, Molde 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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