Ferencvaros 0-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.14
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
4%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.89
X/2
13%
6.36
X/X
16%
4.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.55
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-32% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
264 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
0-1
AWAY Olympiakos
0.56 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
333 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 36
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos edged past Ferencvaros 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 52% of the ball to Olympiakos's 48%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.56 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Olympiakos's control.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Olympiakos?

Ferencvaros 0-1 Olympiakos in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 44%, draw 26%, Olympiakos 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
22 Feb 2024
20:45 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Servette Analysis →
20:45 Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis Analysis →
20:45 Bodo / Glimt vs Ajax Analysis →
23:00 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Saint-Gilloise Analysis →
23:00 Slovan Bratislava vs Sturm Graz Analysis →
23:00 Legia Varşova vs Molde Analysis →