Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
4.01
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
6%
5.25
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.43
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 10% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
35%
+12.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
38%
-13.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Real Betis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.93 xG 0.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
288 Passes 464
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Real Betis
1.50 xG 0.77
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
246 Passes 447
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb and Real Betis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 38% of the ball to Real Betis's 62%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.50 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Real Betis in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 47%, draw 28%, Real Betis 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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