Real Betis 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.15
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
16%
3.8
X/2
12%
9.49
X/X
10%
4.92
2/1
10%
23.75
2/2
7%
7.64
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
16.0
Value flag · 2/X at 16.0 — our 12% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +70%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.95 xG 0.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
464 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Real Betis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Betis at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Real Betis had 60% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 40%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.95 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Real Betis 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 45%, draw 30%, Dinamo Zagreb 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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