Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.04
1/2
11%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
7%
4.69
X/2
14%
6.35
X/X
7%
4.41
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
11%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.62 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
274 Passes 280
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Eintracht Frankfurt couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 49% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 51%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.62 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 37%, draw 24%, Eintracht Frankfurt 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✓ Over 2.5
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